NFL Picks, Props And Odds For Week 10 Monday Night Football Dolphins-Rams

An interconference clash completes Week 10 of NFL action when the Miami Dolphins (2-6) tackle the Los Angeles Rams (4-4) at SoFi Stadium. Leading online sportsbooks report the Rams are taking more that 80% of the spread bets and money in an expeted higher scoring game.

The week started with nine NFL teams sporting just 2-wins, and now the NFL standings show six including the Dolphins (five in AFC) after the Patriots, Panthers and Saints all won as underdogs to pick up their third win. Favorites are 8-5 straight up but just 3-10 against the spread (ATS) in Week 10 into the Dolphins-Rams MNF game.

Monday Night Football Odds

Pro football odds from FanDuel Sportsbook and top online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. Bet types, odds and betting terms with listed point spreads on favorites.

Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams (-2.5), Over/Under 48.5 points

Kickoff is at 8:15pm ET on ABC and ESPN, and streamed online at ESPN+ and NFL plus.

Division Leaders

AFC

AFC division leaders include the Buffalo Bills (8-2), Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2), Houston Texans (6-4) and Kansas City Chiefs (9-0), who remain undefeated after escaping with another win. A blocked short field goal on the final play against the Denver Broncos Sunday sent Chiefs players and fans into a frenzy.

The Baltimore Ravens (7-3) are just 1/2 game behind the Steelers (7-2) in the AFC North in the tightest AFC division race. The Ravens lead the league in scoring, averaging 31.8 points per game following their thrilling 35-34 Thursday Night Football win over division foe Cincinnati Bengals to kick off Week 10 action.

NFC

Philaelphia Eagles (7-2), Detroit Lions (8-1), Atlanta Falcons (6-4) and Arizona Cardinals (6-4) are current NFC division leaders. The Lions also escaped Sunday with a 26-23 win on a last second 52-yard field goal after trailing the Houston Texans 23-7 at halftime. Another controversial penalty (pass interference) was not called against the Lions on the Texans final drive that resulted in a long missed 58-yard field goal to set up a short field and the Lions final drive to victory.

Three tight divison races in the NFC show the Lions (8-1) one-game in front of the Minnesota Vikings (7-2) in the NFC North. The Cardinals (6-4) lead the NFC West by a half game over the San Francisco 49ers (5-4) and LA Rams (4-4) if they win Monday. The Washington Commanders (7-3) fell a half game behind the Eagles (7-2) in the NFC East following the Commanders 28-27 loss to the Steelers Sunday with another Week 10 player prop winner posted on Forbes.

The Week 11 matchups and odds are posted by sportsbooks. The Commanders and Eagles kickoff the action Thursday, Nov. 14 with a first place showdown in Philadelphia and the Eagles a 3-point favorite.

Dolphins-Rams Matchups And Props

Bob Stoll of Dr. Bob Sports provides additional matchups and advance stats for the Dolphins-Rams matchup with information you can bet on. The updated injury report and media updates show Dolphins star WR Tyreek Hill (wrist) as a game-time decision to play.

• Miami’s offense was a trainwreck without Tua Tagovailoa but they’ve only been 14th in EPA per play with the starting quarterback on the field which is well below last season when they averaged 0.10 EPA/play (4th).
• The Dolphins haven’t been able to get WR Tyreek Hill going as he’s averaging nearly 2 yards per route run less than last year. WR Jaylen Waddle is averaging 0.59 EPA/target (7th) but this might not be the game for Miami’s offense to feature the wide receivers.
• The Rams are surrendering a league-high 67% success rate to opposing tight ends and will struggle with TE Jonnu Smith, who has a 66% success rate (2nd).
• Dolphins RB De’Von Achane is averaging 0.17 EPA/target (2nd) and the screen game will be clicking against a Rams defense, who are worst in the NFL allowing a 66% receiving success rate to opposing running backs.
• Los Angeles edge rusher Jared Verse’s 39 pressures are the most for a rookie through the first nine weeks of the season in five years, but he will be shut down by LT Terron Armstead, who ranks 3rd in pass blocking efficiency.
• Miami’s defense has a league-high 42% pressure rate, and the Rams will be without starting RT Rob Havenstein, who ranks 20th in pass-blocking efficiency. Backup Warren McClendon is surrendering an 11% pressure rate. Rams QB Matthew Stafford has thrown 78 passes over the past two games without a sack.
• Los Angeles leads the NFL with a 78% motion rate but the Dolphins’ yards per pass play allowed against motion is a league-low 83% compared to no motion from the opposing offense.
• Miami CB Jalen Ramsey conceding 0.73 yards per cover snap (7th) and he will contain WR Cooper Kupp, who is averaging 2.19 yards per route run (11th). WR Puka Nacua will be limited by Dolphins’ cornerback Kendall Fuller, who is allowing just 0.66 yards per cover snap (4th).
• Our model favors the Rams by 2.4 points with a predicted total of 53.4.

The Dolphins have lost three straight games since their bye week, despite winning the stats by a net margin of 30 yards per contest. That includes the last two games with QB Tua Tagovailoa returning from a Week 2 concussion and the Dolphins losing 30-27 and 28-27 to the first place Bills and Cardinals. The Rams have won 3-in-a-row including 30-20 over the Vikings and last week in Seattle, a 26-20 overtime win to keep the Rams challenging for an NFC West title.

Player Props and Picks

• MIA QB Tua Tagovailoa passing yards: Over/Under 244.5
• LA QB Matthew Stafford passing yards: O/U 250.5
• MIA RB De’Von Achane rushing yards: O/U 56.5, receiving 42.5
• MIA RB Raheem Mostert rushing yards: O/U 32.5, receiving 7.5
• LA RB Kyren williams rushing yards: O/U 84.5
• MIA TE Jonnu Smith receiving yards: O/U 34.5, receptions 3.5
• LA WR Puka Nacua receiving yards: O/U 67.5, receptions 5.5
• LA WR Cooper Kupp receiving yards: O/U 66.5, receptions 5.5
• LA WR Demarcus Robinson receiving yards: O/U 27.5, receptn 2.5

The player prop picks posted on these NFL betting preview pages at Forbes have been scoring and cashing in Week 4, Week 5, Week 6, Week 7, Week 8, Week 9 and Week 10.

Prop Bets: Dolphins RB De’Von Archane’s receiving yards prop has been bet up from O/U 39.5 to 42.5 on FanDuel and even 46.5 on DraftKings sportsbook. That shows the discrepancy in numbers and the importance of shopping numbers and sportsbooks when wagering. Can’t advise betting into that rising number, althouth many receiving yards props posted here have sailed over the players prop numbers. Instead, Achane Over 5.5 receptions (+100) is a bet. Achane leads Dolphins in receptions (37) this season, and he had 8 and 6 receptions the past two games with Tua Tagovailoa back at quarterback. Now the matchups look even more favorable against the Rams as noted above and especially if Tyreek Hill does not play.

If you’re betting on Rams receivers props of Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, Kupp has more favorable matchups as the slot receiver with the Dolphins defense allowing the eighth-highest percentage of targets go to the slot receiver. Puka Nacua under 5.5 receptions is a preferred play, but another bet of more interest is Rams TE Colby Parkinson under 18.5 receiving yards. He had zero targets or receptions last week against the Seahawks as his usage and plays on the field have declined the past two games after also catching just two passes for 17 yards against the Vikings and two receptions against the Raiders three games ago. The two receptions by Rams tight ends last game against the Seahawks went to backups. Too many other preferred options for QB Matthew Stafford, and Parkinson’s O/U receptions is just 1.5.

Following the Miami-LA Monday Night Football game, the Dolphins return home to tackle the Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) while the Rams hit the road to Foxboro and play the New England Patriots (3-7).

More sports betting news, stats, MNF player props and information you can bet on as the NFL draws more watch and wager action with player props driving additional engagement, entertainment and interest.

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